Module 1: Crime Analysis

 Crime analysis in ArcGIS Pro involves using spatial data and geoprocessing tools to identify patterns, trends, and hotspots of criminal activity. By integrating crime incident data with demographic and geographic layers, analysts can perform operations like spatial joins, density mapping, and statistical analysis to better understand where and why crimes are occurring. Tools such as Kernel Density, Local Moran’s I, and attribute-based symbology allow users to visualize high-crime areas and evaluate relationships with social or environmental factors. This type of analysis supports informed decision-making for law enforcement. Below are a few of the maps we completed in the crime analysis lab.



I used a spatial join to calculate homicide counts within a half-mile grid. The top 20% of grid cells with the most homicides were selected and dissolved into a single hotspot polygon. This method is simple and straight forward but may not capture subtler patterns.



The Kernel Density analysis of homicides in Chicago provided a visual representation of where 2017 homicides were most concentrated across the city. By applying a search radius, the analysis generated a smooth raster surface that highlights clusters of high activity without relying on administrative boundaries. This method made it easy to spot general areas of concern, especially in neighborhoods where incidents were tightly grouped. The final map showed continuous zones of high-density homicide activity, offering valuable insights for identifying broad patterns.


Using spatial statistics, I calculated homicide rates by census tract and ran a Local Moran’s analysis. This statistical method identifies significant spatial clusters—in this case, tracts with high homicide rates surrounded by similarly high-rate neighbors. Only the “high-high” clusters were selected and merged into a single polygon. This method offers a data-driven way to find meaningful spatial patterns.

Each mapping technique had its strengths and weaknesses. The Kernel Density map struck the best balance between clarity, accuracy, and practical use for predicting future crimes. It highlighted concentrated hotspots effectively without covering too much area. From a police chief’s perspective,
this method might offer the best guidance for allocating limited resources.
This lab was a great introduction to spatial crime analysis and showed how GIS can be a powerful tool in public safety planning. 

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